By Henry Srebrnik, Saint John Tlegraph-Journal
Criticism of Israel’s war in Gaza, anger over the Iran war, and primary election results in New York and Colorado all suggest Israel’s solid support from Washington may be on borrowed time.
Three pro-Palestinian candidates backed by New York mayor Zohran Mamdani, an ardent critic of Israel, defeated moderates in Democratic congressional primaries in the city June 23. A fierce opponent of Israel won a Democratic primary in Denver a week later.
In New York, Brad Lander defeated Congressman Dan Goldman, one of Congress’s strongest defenders of Israel. Darializa Avila Chevalier unseated veteran Congressman Adriano Espaillat. Claire Valdez won her nomination while advocating a reassessment of U.S. military assistance to Israel.
In Denver, Melat Kiros defeated 15-term incumbent Diana DeGette on June 30. She has justified the 2023 Hamas attack on Israel as the “inevitable consequence of apartheid” and “decades of occupation.” Her stance on Israel is that it should be eliminated in favor of a one-state solution.
These victories and the growing support for the left-wing Democratic Socialists of America (DSA), which supports the Palestinian cause, suggest that positions once considered fringe within the Democratic Party are gaining traction and highlight how criticism of Israel has become an increasingly potent force in Democratic Party politics.
It should be remembered that the day after the October 7, 2023 Hamas attack on Israel, the New York City chapter of the DSA held a gathering in Times Square to show their support for the Palestinian cause, marching under the banner “by any means necessary.” This was the start of a season of protest that featured encampments and demonstrations at many New York universities.
Candidates endorsed by the DSA have scored victories in 35 primary elections so far this year, including upsets against entrenched incumbents. The DSA has backed 150 candidates this cycle: 35 advanced from their primaries or were unopposed, while 34 have lost.
This may ultimately be remembered as a watershed moment in American politics. Israel may not be able to count on solid support from Washington in the future, whether in concrete assistance like billions of dollars in yearly military aid, in symbolic backing like reliable vetoes of anti-Israel resolutions at the United Nations, or even in tax exemptions for U.S. charities benefiting Israeli causes.
Pro-Israel groups like the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) poured money into defending incumbents in many of these contests. Their defeats were described by some House Democrats as an “earthquake” and a setback for the party establishment.
“This is a massive win for the progressive movement against the establishment in New York City, which is the epicenter of power for the Democratic Party,” Congressman Ro Khanna, a progressive California Democrat plotting a 2028 presidential run, said in an interview.
A survey published June 24 by Quinnipiac University found that 48 per cent of voters think the U.S. is too supportive of Israel. This is the highest percentage since Quinnipiac University first asked this question of registered voters in January 2017.
Ironically, many of AIPAC’s efforts to combat the rise of antisemitism on the left appear to have deepened Democratic hostility toward the organization. During a campaign rally with Senator Bernie Sanders in Vermont prior to the vote, Mamdani denounced AIPAC as “monsters” who “move millions in dark money to accomplish a single goal: To preserve their power so that they can turn us against one another instead of our leaders turning towards the moral change we all know to be necessary.”
Anti-AIPAC outside spending kept the DSA candidates competitive. That included Justice Democrats and American Priorities, the new PAC designed to counter AIPAC in Democratic primaries. American Priorities spent $2.1 million in the Valdez and Chevalier primaries.
Republicans have witnessed the ideological drift of their opponents firsthand. “The Democratic Party is being hijacked by the DSA via Zohran Mamdani,” Joseph Hernandez, the Republican nominee for New York state comptroller, remarked. “I think these people could not be more anti-American.” Stated National Republican Congressional Committee spokesman Mike Marinella, “Americans should be terrified by where the Democrat Party is headed.”
Support for Israel was one of the least controversial positions in Democratic Party politics. That consensus has not merely weakened; it has collapsed. Opposition to Israel is now the litmus test in Democratic Party politics. “There’s a cliff, and we’re heading towards it,” warned Daniel C. Kurtzer, a Princeton University professor who was ambassador to Israel under President George W. Bush.
In the past, Congressional support was bipartisan, a reflection of pro-Israel public sentiment. That is no longer the case. Since the start of the Gaza war Israel is no longer the public’s favourite. Within the Democratic Party, a growing majority no longer sees Israel as reflecting American values. Among Republicans, the ground is also shifting. A rising faction on the far right argue that Israel’s actions are entangling the United States in costly wars.
“After 40 years of Israel calling itself a strategic asset to the U.S., there’s a legitimate question: Is Israel an asset or is it becoming a liability?” asked Alon Pinkas, who was Israel’s consul general in New York in the early 2000s. However the Iran war concludes, Israelis and Americans are entering into a new era for their relationship. It may be one less beneficial for the Jewish state.