Professor Henry Srebrnik

Professor Henry Srebrnik

Thursday, August 17, 2023

Underlying Causes of Israeli Turmoil

 By Henry Srebrnik, [Moncton, NB]  Times & Transcript

The Jewish population of Israel is probably one of the most racially diverse groups in the world. Israel is a melting pot immigrant society. And this has resulted in deep intra-ethnic and class divides, expressed politically.

In the years immediately following the founding of the state, Israel’s newly arrived Mizrahi/Sephardi immigrants – Jews from the Middle East and North Africa -- were at a serious disadvantage in many ways.

The Ashkenazi Jews, those of European background, had been the mainstays of the twentieth century Zionist movement. They had created the state and after 1948 had continually governed it.

Mizrahim were often less educated, and disadvantages in professional training were compounded by discrimination and exclusion, because they were outside existing social and economic networks, and also because the established elites were prejudiced against them.

Elitist sentiments, though they ran contrary to government assimilationist policies, persisted. After all, they had been the pioneers, the farmers, the soldiers, the educated people who made the Zionist cause a reality.

As a result, Mizrahim eventually flocked in growing numbers to Menachem Begin’s Likud Party, which was far more hospitable to religion and tradition than the ruling Labour Party coalitions. He won the 1977 election on the strength of his appeal to Mizrahi voters. For Israel’s Ashkenazi elites the shock was total and extreme.

By 1990, this establishment was in a dire state, having been unable to win a single election since the Likud gained its electoral upset in 1977, after almost three decades of uninterrupted Labour rule.

And so began a slow and arduous process of neutering electoral politics and investing actual power in the bureaucracy. The spearhead of the attempt to shift decision-making power from elected politicians to career bureaucrats was the Supreme Court.

The left’s struggle to regain power meshed with the ambitions of judges, who were all too eager to augment their own authority. Under the leadership of Supreme Court President Aharon Barak, Israel was gradually transformed from a democracy to a judiciocracy.

In a 1995 court decision Barak announced, unilaterally and retroactively, that Basic Laws, passed by the Israeli parliament, the Knesset, in 1992, were now constitutional, and therefore the basis for striking down legislation through the process of judicial review.

And this was virtually open-ended. Since the court also established “reasonableness” as a central criterion for its judgments, it could veto policies which were perfectly legal based on its own opinion of whether they were “reasonable.”

This came about in order to prevent the right from taking power, not to exclude Mizrahi Jews, but since the majority of them vote for the right, the line between politics and ethnicity coincided. And this has led to the current struggle that has rocked Israel with protests and even violence for months.

Israel’s Jewish population is divided more or less evenly between the Ashkenazim and the Mizrahim. Yet representation in the Supreme Court is sharply skewed. Of 76 judges who have served as permanent associates in the court since the state was founded, only 12 were Mizrahi.

Both sides in the bitter controversy over Israel’s identity nominally subscribe to the slogan that theirs is a Jewish, democratic state. But the right sees Israel not merely as a Jewish state but as a state that is first and foremost Jewish, not only in the sense that it has a Jewish majority and state symbols, but Jewish also in ways that are expressed in its policies, in the character of public spaces, and in its understanding of its own place in the world.

Representatives of this bloc understand democracy first and foremost in majoritarian terms: if Israel has a Western, liberal character, then its legitimacy is rooted in the existence of a majority that supports it, and one which is free to change its mind and turn Israel into something other than a Western, liberal country if it wishes.

The Israeli right is afraid that, whether in government or in opposition, the liberal camp is trying to undermine Israel’s Jewish character. The right-wing media frequently describe all of Israel’s center-left as “post-Zionist,” and accuse them of trying to transform Israel into a non-Jewish state. This vision taps into millennia of Jewish history and sees a country that is thoroughly exceptional because it is Jewish.

The parties opposed to the right-religious bloc also affirm Israel’s self-definition as a Jewish state. But this left-secular bloc generally sees Israel as first and foremost a modern Western state and a liberal democracy, though one with a Jewish majority and Jewish cultural characteristics.

In the eyes of its adherents, Israel’s identity as a Western-oriented, liberal democracy isn’t contingent on the wishes of a temporary majority; rather, these features are parts of Israel’s very definition.

The liberal camp’s conception of Israel is built on Theodor Herzl’s idea of Jewish normalcy. The founder of political Zionism envisioned a thoroughly modern country, one just like any other except that it would have a Jewish population.

In other words, in today’s Israel, the greatest dividing line between Western-oriented liberals and Jewish exceptionalists is, in effect, one between “Israelis” and “Jews.” And the Ashkenazim are found in the first, the Mizrachim in the second.

A genuine Kulturkampf, the conflict between these competing identities and the accompanying visions is unlikely to be resolved anytime soon.

 

Tuesday, August 15, 2023

What’s Behind the Niger Coup?

 By Henry Srebrnik, [Charlottetown, PEI] Guardian

People following news from Africa know that the Niger military recently mounted a coup against a democratically elected president. Mohamed Bazoum has been held by troops from the presidential guard since July 26.

“We, the defence and security forces,” Colonel Major Amadou Abdramane announced, “have decided to put an end to the regime you know. This follows the continuing deterioration of the security situation, and poor economic and social governance.” The coup leaders were calling themselves the National Council for the Safeguard of the Homeland (CNSP).

This is nothing new. Niger has experienced four coups since independence from France in 1960, as well as numerous attempted coups. Bazoum has been a key Western ally in the fight against Islamist militancy in West Africa. Yet many Nigeriens supported his overthrow and have looked to Russia. Why?

Allegations that he was a puppet for French interests were used to legitimise his removal from power, and five military deals with France have since been revoked by the junta, now led by General Abdourahmane Tchiani. Partly as a result, the coup was followed by popular protests and attacks on the French embassy.

On Aug. 6, an estimated 30,000 people gathered in the capital Niamey at a stadium, some draped in Russian flags, even as the threat of regional military intervention by the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) loomed. “Long live Putin,” protesters chanted, as well as “Down with France.”

While the Russian mercenary Wagner group’s leader Yevgeny Prigozhin welcomed Niger’s coup, the group hasn’t claimed involvement. But if Niger contracts Wagner, the uranium-rich nation could see more instability, human rights violations, authoritarianism and the suppression of democratic protests.

Two neighbouring countries, Mali and Burkina Faso, have also experienced coups triggered by jihadist uprisings in recent years, and there too, those who took over have been receptive to entreaties from Moscow. At the Russia–Africa Economic and Humanitarian Forum in St. Petersburg July 27-28, leaders from the two declared their support for President Vladimir Putin and the invasion of Ukraine.

The country of some 25 million people is one of the poorest in the world and resentment towards France runs deep. Seven of the nine Francophone states in West Africa still use the CFA franc, which is guaranteed by France, as their currency, a legacy of French economic policy.

France also forged defence agreements that saw it regularly intervene militarily on behalf of pro-French leaders to keep them in power. François-Xavier Verschave, a prominent French economist, coined the term Françafrique to refer to this neocolonial relationship.

“In many of these countries, the militaries are seen as leaders upholding their nations’ sovereignty and independence, as opposed to elected governments, which tend to be puppets of the West and have done nothing to challenge the neocolonial order throughout the years,” Ndongo Samba Sylla, a Senegalese economist, on Aug. 8 explained to Thomas Fazi, an UnHerd columnist.

But the French-led international response to Islamist insurgencies in the Sahel region has failed to enable West African governments to regain control of their territories. This created the impression that French support was more of a liability than a blessing. In Mali, heavily armed Russian Wagner mercenaries are now helping the military regime to fight jihadist insurgents.

Kiari Liman Tinguiri, Niger’s ambassador in Washington, told Ishaan Tharoor, a Washington Post analyst, that Niger was supposed to mark a turning of the page in his country’s complicated role in the region.

“France invested in the Bazoum government to be a model of new types of partnerships with African countries, on a more equal footing,” he indicated on Aug. 9, yet now, the possibility of Niger going the same way as Mali and Burkina Faso “would further consolidate a Sahelian arch of instability, under significant Russian influence.”

Some analysts have also wondered whether the overthrow of President Bazoum, who is from the minority Arab community, might create ethnic tensions in Niger. General Tchiani is from the majority Hausa ethnic group, and comes from Tillabéri region, a traditional recruiting ground for the military. But this currently seems unlikely.

 

Thursday, August 10, 2023

The Evolution of Coalition Politics in Malaysia

 By Henry Srebrnik, [Moncton, NB]  Times & Transcript

Malaysia’s fourteenth general election in November 2022 produced a 19-party coalition government led by Anwar Ibrahim’s multiethnic Alliance of Hope (Pakatan Harapan, PH) grouping. It is itself a four-party organization, and it now controls a two-thirds parliamentary majority.

Self-styled as the “Unity Government,” this new political movement also contains the once-dominant National Front (Barisan Nasional, BN), a four-entity coalition under the leadership of the United Malays National Organization (Pertubuhan Kebangsaan Melayu Bersatu, UMNO); they were the outgoing government. It also includes the four-grouping Sarawak Parties Alliance (Gabungan Parti Sarawak, GPS); and the three-unit Sabah People’s Alliance (Gabungan Rakyat Sabah, GRS).

The ruling coalition also has four standalone parties, the Heritage Party (Parti Warisan), the youth-based Malaysian United Democratic Alliance (MUDA) and two regional parties.

The most charismatic opposition leader the southeast Asian nation has ever seen, Anwar led tens of thousands of Malaysians in street protests in the 1990s against his mentor-turned-foe Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad.

Mahathir once called Anwar his friend and protege and anointed him his successor. But later, amid sodomy charges and disagreements over how to handle the Asian financial crisis, he said Anwar was unfit to lead “because of his character.”

Holding one-third of federal seats, the opposition, the predominantly Malay-Muslim National Alliance (Pakatan Nasional, PN), which is itself a four-party coalition, challenges the new government from an ethnic flank position. So the evolution of coalition politics in Malaysia continues, as national coalitions proliferate, while politics in Sabah and Sarawak on the island of Borneo denationalize.

The result has had significant implications. First, it led to the fourth peaceful transfer of power since the end of the BN’s 61-year rule in 2018, even though Malaysia’s democracy is far from consolidated. It also recorded the unprecedented rise of the Pan-Malaysian Islamic Party (Parti Islam Se-Malaysia, PAS), which became the largest single party in parliament.

Driven by the PAS and Malaysian United Indigenous Party (Parti Pribumi Bersatu Malaysia, PPBM), the PN is now the sole Opposition with one-third of the seats. Also, only three of Malaysia’s 13 states had their elections concurrently, ending the conventional vertical and horizontal simultaneity in the election calendar, indicating the decoupling of federal-state politics since 2018.

The PAS, long a powerhouse in northeastern parts of Malaysia, has become a national force by winning the most seats of any party: 49 of the 222, 19 per cent of the seats, and nearly triple its tally in the last election in 2018.

The new popularity of the PAS is also partly a result of the decline of the long-dominant UMNO, for generations the party of choice for Malays. The UMNO, which held a monopoly over the country’s politics since independence, has been plagued by rivalry between party warlords. It led its worst electoral results in its history, winning only 26 seats.

The UMNO faces a steep uphill battle as it seeks to rebuild its image as the champion of the majority Malay Muslims while at the same time adjusting to the new reality of its minority role in the federal unity government -- ahead of six state elections that could determine the group’s continued relevance on the country’s political stage.

The PAS has banned cinemas and advocated caning as a punishment for homosexuality in states that it runs and it put its religious appeals front and centre in the election, with one leader saying voters would “go to hell” if they voted for Anwar’s coalition.

Malaysian politics has always been centred on coalitions due to the needs of inter-ethnic power-sharing and vote-pooling under the First-Past-The-Post (FPTP) electoral system. However, the number of serious coalitions has grown over the decades.

The two-coalition system Malaysian democrats aspired to establish after 1990 was one consisting of two multi-ethnic coalitions competing centripetally, resembling the British two-party system. However, a multiethnic-monoethnic binary competition has emerged as the new two-coalition format since 2018 after the BN’s defeat in 2018. Malaysia’s three coalition governments since 2020 resemble shifting coalitions rather than the permanent coalitions of Malaysia’s early years did.

Meanwhile, the Borneo states of Sabah and Sarawak have their own regional party systems, which feature regional coalitions, national coalitions and standalone regional parties.

Except for those in the PN, all coalitions and parties holding federal seats in Sabah and Sarawak are now partners in Anwar’s 19-party government, but many remain competitors to each other at the state-level. Dominated by strongmen and fuelled by patronage, regional parties on Borneo can realign and move in and out of coalitions at ease, creating instability.

Anwar, who is ethnic Malay and Muslim, addressed race and religion in his first news conference as prime minister, promising to uphold Islam as the official religion of the country and the rights of the ethnic Malay majority, while also safeguarding the rights of all.

Race and religion are thorny issues in Malaysia, where Muslim ethnic Malays form a majority in a country with significant ethnic Chinese and ethnic Indian minorities, most of them Hindu, Buddhist or Christian.

As the biggest party in parliament, the PAS could push for Islamisation and more affirmative action for Malays -- a long-standing policy that Anwar has opposed, analysts indicate. The PAS could also play up its religious credentials to distinguish itself from other Malay-centric parties, they say.