By Henry Srebrnik, [Summerside, PEI] Journal Pioneer
With
23 major candidates having entered the race, the Democratic Party’s
2020 presidential field is one of the largest, most competitive, and
most unpredictable in modern history.
But most of them will soon be history. Of the ones left standing, California’s junior Democratic Senator Kamala Devi Harris, is the most formidable.
The
organ of the American political elite, the New York Times, in August
ran an op-ed stating that the African American (really, Indian/Jamaican)
woman is the one to beat Donald Trump. Many other media outlets have
been playing her up as well.
They
are behind her because, after all, who is better placed to keep Black
radicals and white “deplorables” (Hillary Clinton’s term) in their place
than her? She can even co-opt some of the troublemakers in the “squad,”
the party’s high-profile four radicals in the House of Representatives,
and shut the others up.
They
can’t criticize Harris as a racist, misogynist, and the various other
labels they hurl at Trump. Harris is a perfect candidate for what
sociologist C. Wright Mills decades ago called “the power elite” (still
the best book ever written about the American ruling classes).
All
the energy, drive, and passion in the party today are on the left. This
may be the most aggressively left-wing cycle for Democrats since
Senator George McGovern was nominated in 1972.
There
will also be an enormous advantage for female candidates, in particular
those from minorities in general, and African-Americans in particular.
Joe
Biden and Bernie Sanders – too old, too male, too white – have no
chance. Elizabeth Warren, a radical woman, comes closer to emerging as a
serious contender. But she is strident and comes across like a
hectoring schoolmarm, turning many voters off. She’s also, despite
fraudulent claims of native American heritage, white. And – too old.
But
54-year-old Harris checks off all the identity boxes. And as the icing
on the cake, she is a very passionate, articulate, and compelling public
speaker, and quite fierce in debates.
She has
many flaws and some controversial history as a prosecutor, San Francisco
district attorney, and California attorney general.
Her
record has led some critics to describe her not as a progressive
reformer but as a relic of a “tough on crime” era going back to the
1990s and 2000s.
However, since her Senate
campaign in 2016, Harris has tried to avoid the faulty parts of her
record, and instead emphasized the reforms she’s supported and
implemented over the years. She has adopted sweeping rhetoric about the
criminal justice system, arguing that it needs to be systemically
changed.
Trump might exploit some of her
negatives, But Harris is not blinded by hubris the way Clinton was. She
won’t take victory for granted.
Harris also
enjoys the greatest support among other Democratic Party presidential
candidates’ supporters, meaning she could consolidate a lot of support
when her rivals drop out. Indeed, she is said to be the Democrat whom
Trump fears the most and she will be hard to beat.
The
first primaries are still five months away, the general election more
than a year, but I’m betting on Harris to clinch the Democratic Party
nomination and give Trump a real challenge. The forces arrayed against
him could very likely make him a one-term president.
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