Henry Srebrnik, [Summerside, PEI] Pioneer Journal
In the past few weeks, Russia has expanded
its military presence in Syria, sending weapons, tanks, air missile systems and
planes to support the Bashar Al-Assad regime.
It is now engaging in bombing runs itself
and Russian warships in the Caspian Sea have also fired cruise missiles at
Islamic State (ISIS) strongholds.
As well, Russia,
Syria, Iran and Iraq have recently created an information center in the Iraqi
capital of Baghdad to coordinate the fight against the Islamic State extremists
now controlling much of Iraq and Syria.
The establishment of
a coordination centre to fight ISIS will be welcome news to Syria’s beleaguered
president, Bashar al-Assad, who has suffered reverses lately.
The fact that Putin is helping Syria in
fighting ISIS should come as no surprise. Iran and Iraq, too, are battling
ISIS, so the fact that they are now going to help coordinate the fight is also
not unexpected.
The old Soviet Union
had a long-time relationship with Syria. Their alliance
was strengthened during the Suez crisis of 1956, which brought the two
countries together in backing Egypt. Syria, at that time, had the largest
Communist Party in the Arab world.
The alliance was upgraded and formalized in the Treaty of Friendship and Cooperation
signed by Hafez al-Assad (Bashar’s father) in Moscow in 1980.
Russia has been Syria’s major arms supplier
for decades, accounting now for over three quarters of Syria’s arms purchases.
In addition, Russia’s only Mediterranean
naval base for its Black Sea Fleet, obtained in 1971, is located in the Syrian
port of Tartus. Given that Russia’s Mediterranean fleet is so distant from
home, this base is crucial to Russian military interests.
The base has come under threat as the
rebels have advanced towards it. Fears of a collapse, or a coup, that might in
the worst case deprive Russia of its naval base, the only military facility
Russia still controls outside the former Soviet Union, are genuine.
In a speech before the UN General Assembly
Sept. 28, the Russian leader extolled Assad. “We think it’s an enormous mistake
to refuse to cooperate with the Syrian government,” said Putin. “No one but
Assad’s forces are truly fighting the Islamic State.”
The alternative to Assad is radical Sunni forces, who
are trying to increase their influence among the many Muslims living in Russia.
Putin worries about a rise in Islamist terrorism
in Russia as well.
“More than 2,000 fighters from Russia and
ex-Soviet republics are in the territory of Syria,” he told American journalist
Charlie Rose on the television program “60 Minutes” Sept. 27. “There is a
threat of their return to us. So, instead of waiting for their return, we are
better off fighting them on Syrian territory.”
The U.S. is no doubt very unhappy about these
developments, but given America’s lack of success so far, it’s hard for them to
complain. After all, Barack Obama famously blinked, two years ago, when Assad
used chemical weapons against his own people and thus crossed the president’s
“red line.”
And the United States has thus far been
unable to make any headway in finding its own allies in Syria. It seems Syrians
either support Assad or one of the radical Islamist groups fighting to
overthrow him.
This is all part of Putin’s attempt to regain
a role for Russia as a power to be reckoned with and showing that he backs
words with deeds -- as opposed to the United States, which for years has called
on Assad to go, yet has done little about it.
And should Assad in the end be eased out as
part of a deal in which Russia will be a key broker, Putin wants to be able to
make that deal from a position of strength, not weakness.
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