Even
though Donald Trump has effectively claimed the Republican Party nomination for
president, for much of the party’s elders and donors, his victory is still
being treated as a hostile takeover.
Neither George
H.W. Bush nor his son George W. , the last two Republican presidents, will be endorsing
Trump, and the last two Republican presidential candidates, John McCain and
Mitt Romney, will not be coming to the Cleveland convention in July.
House of Representatives Speaker Paul Ryan,
said that he could not support Trump until the New York businessman changes his
tone and demonstrates that he shares the party’s values.
Trump
will be getting so little help from establishment Republicans that he will in
effect be running as the equivalent of a third party candidate.
Maybe
that’s as it should be, because his political forebears are not the previous
Republican presidents, the two Bushes and Ronald Reagan, but Ross Perot, who
ran as a third party candidate in 1992 – and whose politics in many ways
mirrored those of Trump.
Perot
was the billionaire entrepreneur who formed the Reform Party and took on both
George H.W. Bush, the Republican incumbent, and Democrat Bill Clinton.
Perot ran
the most successful third party presidential campaign in the United States
since 1912 and for the better part of three months, he
was ahead of both Bush and Clinton.
He won an
astounding 18.9 per cent of the popular vote, though he carried no states and
therefore won no electoral college votes. Still, in 31 states he garnered more
than 20 per cent and in nine, over a quarter of the total.
His voters shared the fiscal conservatism of the Republicans and the
social moderation of the Democrats but were angry with both parties when it
came to their domination by special interests and their lack of interest in
serious political and governmental reform.
Like Perot, Trump has an appeal across
demographics and party lines and is benefitting from today’s negative attitudes
toward Washington and career politicians.
Both Trump and Perot are part of a long-established American tradition:
the well-meaning amateur, sometimes even naive outsider, challenging the system
and battling the entrenched forces of corruption.
Populists rather than either conservatives
or liberals, both could claim that only a successful businessman can fix the
corrupt political system. “I was not put on the ballot by any PAC money, by any
foreign lobbyist money, by any special interest money,” Perot said in an
October 1992 presidential debate.
He singled out “our own political elites who enter government to gain
expertise and personal contacts while on the public payroll, then leave to
enrich themselves by taking inside knowledge to the other side.”
Perot evinced a mistrust of the establishment media, convinced that no
matter what he did or said, they would make every effort to discredit him and
portray him as unpredictable, dangerous, an egomaniac and loose cannon.
Perot wanted an end to foreign entanglements
to solve other countries’ problems, as does Trump, who in a speech on April 27
asked why “our politicians seem more interested in defending the borders of
foreign countries than in defending their own.”
Perot’s economic nationalism provided him with a ready-made political
base. Like Trump, he channeled economic resentment
through opposition to free trade; some may recall his famous line about the “giant sucking sound” of American jobs going south to Mexico if NAFTA
were enacted.
Trump too is an avowed opponent of recent
trade deals such as the Trans-Pacific Partnership and contends that America’s
disastrous trade policies is destroying the middle class.
He noted an estimate made by the Economic
Policy Institute -- a liberal think-tank affiliated with the labour movement,
by the way -- that the country has lost three million jobs to China since
2001.
In 1960, about one in four American workers
had a job in manufacturing. Today fewer than one in 10 are employed in the
sector. Since 2000 alone, the U.S. has shed five million manufacturing jobs.
“America’s politicians -- beholden to
global corporate interests who profit from offshoring -- have enabled jobs
theft in every imaginable way,” Trump charged. “They have tolerated
foreign trade cheating while enacting trade deals that encourage companies to
shift production overseas.”
How will Hillary Clinton answer these
charges?
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