Professor Henry Srebrnik

Professor Henry Srebrnik

Tuesday, July 24, 2018

African States Lay Down Arms

Henry Srebrnik, [Saint John, N.B.] Telegraph-Journal

Most of Africa’s conflicts are interminable affairs, civil or tribal wars lasting decades and  involving non-state actors. They’re hard to bring to a close.

One of Africa’s few wars between sovereign states, on the other hand, recently ended.

The leaders of Ethiopia and Eritrea on July 9 signed a “joint declaration of peace and friendship,” a day after a summit in Asmara, the Eritrean capital, between Eritrean President Isaias Afwerki and Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed of Ethiopia. 

Eritrea gained independence from Ethiopia in 1993 after a 30-year guerrilla war, but their border remained contested and about 80,000 people died in a 1998-2000 border war.

A peace agreement known as the Algiers accord was signed in 2000. It created an independent, impartial body, known as the Ethiopian-Eritrean Boundary Commission, to determine the boundary, but Ethi­o­pia balked at implementing the deal.

Ethiopia has now agreed to implement the ruling that awarded the key town of Badme to Eritrea.

Isaias visited Addis Ababa July 14. The two leaders announced that they would resume airline and telephone services and cross-border trade, and reopen their embassies. 

Ethiopia, which has been a landlocked nation since Eritrea achieved independence, needs the Eritrean port of Assab for access to the Red Sea. Until 1998, it used Assab for two-thirds of its trade with the world. 

In addition, the two countries agreed to participate in the development of other ports. This will reduce Ethiopia’s dependence on the port of Djibouti, which has been its main gateway for trade.

Africa’s second most populous state, with 102 million people, Ethiopia has East Africa’s largest economy and is a regional power.

It has the largest army in the region and the continent’s fastest-growing economy, with a growth rate expected to be 8.5 per cent this year. 

Abiy, who became Ethiopia’s prime minister in April, is the first member of the Oromo ethnic group, which makes up more than a third of Ethiopia’s population of more than 102 million, to lead the government. 

They have suffered repression in the past and were at the center of protests demanding more economic opportunities and greater freedom of expression.

The outgoing Ethiopian leader, Hailemariam Desaleg of the small Welayta ethnic group, who number only 2.3 per cent of the country’s people, resigned in February.

Deadly clashes for more than two years had left at least 700 people dead. Abiy lifted a state of emergency and freed political prisoners.

Both men are members of the Ethiopian People’s RevolutionaryDemocratic Front that has ruled the country since overthrowing an Amhara-led Marxist-Leninist Derg regime in 1991.

Historically, the Amhara people, numbering 27 per cent, were the country’s governing force. Emperor Haile Selasssie, deposed in 1974, was Amhara, as was Mengistu Haile Mariam, the country’s dictator until 1991.

The minority Tigrayans, though numbering just 6.1 per cent of the population, have controlled the political and economic life of Ethiopia since then. The late Meles Zenawi, the first prime minister of a post-Derg Ethiopia, was Tigrayan.

Abiy’s ethnicity has been crucial in laying the ground for reconciliation with Eritrea.

The repressive Eritrean government, meanwhile, has long been involved in human rights abuses, and denies rights based on political opinion and religion.

It subjects its citizens to “national service” that traps conscripts for well over a decade and in some cases, forever. About 12 per cent of Eritrea’s five million people have fled the country.

Will this peace deal result in social and political liberalization there?


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