Iranian
Major General Qassem Soleimani was killed in an American drone strike in
Baghdad on Jan. 3, sending shockwaves through the Middle East.
Why did U.S.
President Donald Trump take what many see as a provocative move? The reasons go
back to many years of conflict between Washington and Tehran.
Since 1998
Soleimani had been a major player in this struggle, as the head of the Quds
Force, the offensive arm of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC), the
ideological arm of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The Quds
Force is part of the 125,000-strong IRGC, a paramilitary organization that
answers only to Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Hosseini Khamenei. It is
not part of 350,000-strong regular army.
The Guard
oversees Iran’s ballistic missile program, has its naval forces shadow the U.S.
Navy in the Persian Gulf, and includes an all-volunteer Basij force that
thwarts dissent domestically with violence. It can potentially mobilise many
hundreds of thousands of personnel.
Soleimani
was key in expanding Iran’s influence through planning attacks or bolstering
Tehran’s local allies.
He provided
support to numerous militant groups in the region, including Hezbollah in
Lebanon, Hamas and Islamic Jihad in Gaza, the Houthis of Yemen, and the Popular
Mobilization Forces in Iraq.
Soleimani helped
President Bashar-al Assad of Syria turn back the forces trying to depose him in
that country’s civil war, when he deployed upwards of 50,000 fighters to shore
up Assad’s tottering regime.
Soleimani’s
Iraqi Shia militias, which are integrated formally into the Iraqi security
apparatus, have long been the real power in Baghdad. They consist of some 40
paramilitary groups capable of mobilizing 120,000 fighters.
Soleimani
also used Iraq as a forward base to target a U.S. ally, Saudi Arabia and to
deploy weapons in Syria and Lebanon.
These proxy
wars, orchestrated by Soleimani, have led to the deaths of hundreds of
thousands of civilians throughout the Middle East, especially in Syria and
Yemen.
Iran and the
United States have been adversaries in one way or another since the coming to
power of the Islamic regime in 1979.
But in
recent years the animosity between them has heightened, particularly since
Trump in May 2018 withdrew from the Iran nuclear agreement, signed by his
predecessor Barack Obama and five other countries in 2015. It was designed to
prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons.
Under the
accord, Iran had agreed to limit its nuclear activities and allow in
international inspectors. Many, however, asserted that Iran was continuing its
program clandestinely.
Trump also
imposed crippling economic sanctions on Iran as part of his campaign to exert
“maximum pressure” on its regime.
Tensions
between Washington and Tehran intensified over the past year. Last May,
Washington accused Iran of masterminding attacks against six oil tankers in the
Persian Gulf. After Iran shot down a U.S. drone near the Iranian coast,
Washington maintained it was over international waters, but Iran said it was
over its territory.
In
September, drone and missile attacks damaged two key Saudi oil facilities. Both
the U.S. and Saudi Arabia linked these attacks to Iran, although Tehran denied
any involvement.
Late last
month, rockets struck a U.S. base in Iraq, killing an American military
contractor. It was the eleventh such attack on an American base in recent
years.
In response,
the United States bombed bases in Iraq and Syria controlled by Kataib
Hezbollah, a unit of the Popular Mobilization Forces.
Pro-Iranian
Iraqi demonstrators then converged on the U.S. embassy in Baghdad and broke
into its compound. Iraqi security officials did not try to stop them.
U.S.
Secretary of Defence Mark Esper warned that the United States would
pre-emptively strike pro-Iranian forces in Iraq and Syria should there be
indications of further attacks.
Following
Soleimani’s death, Tehran has announced it will no longer abide by the terms of
the nuclear deal. In fact, Iran had begun rolling back key commitments in July.
Khamenei
called for three days of mourning after the general’s death and appointed
Soleimani’s deputy, Ismail Ghaani, as Soleimani’s successor. Iran also
retaliated by firing missiles at two air bases housing American forces in Iraq.
One of
Ghaani’s first duties will likely be to oversee whatever revenge Iran intends
to seek for Soleimani’s death.
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