Professor Henry Srebrnik

Professor Henry Srebrnik

Saturday, February 29, 2020

Democracy is in Trouble in Western Countries

By Henry Srebrnik, [Fredericton, NB] Daily Gleaner
 
Dissatisfaction with democracy is at its highest level in almost 25 years, according to University of Cambridge researchers in Britain. The report, “Global Satisfaction With Democracy,” was released by the university’s Centre for the Future of Democracy at the end of January.

Academics have analysed what they say is the biggest global dataset on attitudes towards democracy, based on four million people in 3,500 surveys. The research covered 154 countries around the world.

They tracked views on democracy since 1995. The figures for 2019 showed the proportion dissatisfied rising from 48 per cent to 58 per cent, the highest recorded level.

“We find that dissatisfaction with democracy has risen over time, and is reaching an all-time global high, in particular in developed countries,” stated the report’s lead author Roberto Foa.

Many American political scientists have reached the same conclusion. At a conference held at Cornell University in Ithaca, NY, last November, Steven Levitsky, a Harvard University professor, argued that American democracy is facing challenges similar to those that brought down Latin American democracies in coups during the last century.

A key turning point for many democracies was the moment when political rivals began to see themselves as enemies rather than competitors, losing a key norm Levitsky calls “mutual toleration.” This often plays directly into the hands of authoritarians.

Yascha Mounk, who teaches at the Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced Studies in Washington D.C., locates the current democratic crisis in the rise of social media, the growth of identity politics, and economic stagnation in general-- social inequality in particular. 

Much of this has been fuelled by economic uncertainty since the Great Recession of 2008, along with the migration crisis in Europe a few years later. 

After a brief period of decline after the Second World War, inequality measured as concentration of wealth and income is rising. Less than 100 billionaires now own as much as does 50 per cent of world’s population, down from around 400 billionaires a little more than five years ago. The ultrarich represent an emergent global aristocracy.

A working aristocracy of politicians, business leaders, professional and bureaucrats dominate public affairs. These include graduates of elite educational establishments such as America’s ivy league schools or Britain’s Oxbridge. Class, privilege and wealth still determine life chances.

On the other hand, in many countries today, there are entire regions of desolation, and large sections of the population are impoverished. This world is far removed from the democratic capitalism that dominated the era after 1945.

Political polarization, based on economic and political problems, has led to, among other outcomes, the Brexit vote in Britain and Donald Trump’s election in the U.S. They were an outcry and protest by those who feel alienated in their own country. 

The fracturing of the United Kingdom into regional political constituencies, each with their own leaders and policies, has gained momentum and the union may break apart within the foreseeable future.

The last decade was an economic disaster in the United States. It experienced the worst economic collapse since the Great Depression. Unemployment spiked to 10 per cent, and it took most of the last ten years for it to come back down.

Employment may be widely available again, but a lot of that employment is fundamentally worse than it was in decades past. Americans’ wages still aren’t growing as fast as they were before the crash.

The American project rested on the hope that deep divides can be bridged by a culture of compromise, and that emotion can be defeated by reason. But this seems increasingly a forlorn hope.

Over the past couple of decades in America, the divides of ideology, geography, party, class, religion, and race have mutated into something deeper and more ominous.

All these differences have created two tribes, balanced in political power, fighting not just to advance their own side but to defeat the other.

The intellectual elites are now little better. The intellectual right and the academic left have dispensed with the idea of a mutual exchange of ideas.

Even though liberal democracy remains the official ideology, intellectuals on both the right and left are dissociating themselves from its legacy. This year’s coming election will only make things worse.

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