Professor Henry Srebrnik

Professor Henry Srebrnik

Tuesday, October 09, 2018

It's No Longer Primarily About the Economy


By Henry Srebrnik, [Summerside, PEI] Pioneer Journal

In the 1992 American presidential campaign, candidate Bill Clinton famously argued that “It’s the economy, stupid.”

He used the recession in the United States at the time as one of the means to successfully unseat George H. W. Bush.

But in in this November’s midterm elections, so-called identitarian politics, not economics, will be the major factor – despite the fact that the Great Recession of 2008 and its aftermath has been much worse than previous downturns.

The Democratic Party’s base has increasingly become the home of people of colour and of women, while white males skew towards the Republicans. 

In the 2016 presidential election issues of identity -- race, religion, gender and ethnicity -- and not economics, were the driving forces that determined how people voted.

These are the findings of political scientists John Sides of George Washington University, Michael Tesler of the University of California at Irvine and Lynn Vavreck of the University of California at Los Angeles, co-authors of the new book Identity Crisis: The 2016 Presidential Campaign and the Battle for the Meaning of America.

The two candidates stood further apart on identity issues than any major-party presidential candidates in 40 years, so this became more strongly related to how Americans voted in 2016 than in any recent presidential election, maintain the authors.

It’s not that economic issues didn’t matter. But racial attitudes “shaped the way voters understood economic outcomes.”

Bart Bonikowski, a professor of sociology at Harvard University, in “Ethno-nationalist Populism and the Mobilization of Collective Resentment,” published in the November 2017 British Journal of Sociology, argues that in the contemporary political climate, the fear of cultural disruption has become pervasive on the right.

The reason for this is that many Donald Trump supporters have long held strong ethnonationalist sentiments, but these have only recently become politically salient, as Trump, and other Republicans before him, “have actively stoked fears of demographic and cultural change and channeled them into powerful resentments toward minority groups.”

That’s why many academics are wary of identity politics, seeing it as a double-edged sword.

In his new book Identity: The Demand for Dignity and the Politics of Resentment, Francis Fukuyama, a professor of political science at Stanford University, deals with this issue.

“A lot of these recognition struggles flow out of the social movements that began to emerge in the 1960s involving African-Americans, women, the LGBT community, Native Americans, and the disabled,” he told the Chronicle of Higher Education in an Aug. 27 interview. 

“These groups found a home on the left, triggering a reaction on the right. They say: What about us? Aren’t we deserving of recognition? Haven’t the elites ignored us, downplayed our struggles? That’s the basis of today’s populism.”

Populist nationalism springs from the demand for recognition and therefore cannot simply be satisfied by economic means, especially given the insecurity caused by economic disruption plus rather rapid cultural change.

While every single one of these struggles is justified, “the problem is in the way we interpret injustice and how we try to solve it, which tends to fragment society.”

In “An Anatomy of Radicalism,” in the Fall 2018 issue of the journal American Affairs, Harvard law professor Cass Sunstein also acknowledges that modern theorists and practitioners of identity politics, at their best, “capture people’s actual experiences, and their keen sense of exclusion and humiliation. That can be helpful and even important, but it is hardly a basis for reform.”

It is not clear exactly what it does, he maintains, "aside from giving people a sense of having some kind of home. It is probably best understood as a plea, or a demand, for understanding and respect. That should not be diminished. But where exactly does it lead?”

Perhaps Fukuyama has the answer, when he suggests that “We need to get back to a narrative that’s focused less on narrow groups and more on larger collectivities.”

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