By Henry
Srebrnik, [Charlottetown, PEI] Guardian
The
election of Imran Khan as Pakistan’s new prime minister following the country’s
parliamentary election on July 25 has increased the country’s military power as
never before.
Since its
creation in 1947, after the partition of British India, Pakistan has had
30 years of military rule, over three periods: 1958-70, 1977-88 and
1999-2008.
But for
the past 10 years, the military has stayed in the background, allowing civilian
politicians to take turns in power after elections that were always marred to
some extent by electoral irregularities.
In fact in 2013, for the first time in Pakistan’s history, a democratically elected government completed its full term and there was a democratic change of government, with the centre-right Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N) succeeding the centre-left Pakistan Peoples Party.
This
strengthening of the democratic process was bound to disturb the military,
which is known by its opponents as the ‘deep state’ because of the key role of
its intelligence agency, the Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI).
Indeed,
some elected PPP and PML-N leaders tried to pursue policies that ran counter to
the military’s wishes, especially towards India, which it regards as its
principal enemy.
Khan’s
Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) party won 151 of the 342 seats in the lower
house of parliament, defeating the PML-N party of former prime minister Nawaz
Sharif. Khan has cobbled together a coalition government.
The
Pakistani military is widely accused of skewing the election in favour of Khan,
but it denied the charge. Most observers, including Sharif, believe they wanted
Khan to win and rigged the vote.
The new
prime minister indicated that he would move away from what he called a
“clientalistic” relationship with Washington, whose drone attacks and war on
terror he blames for fostering extremism within Pakistan, towards countries
closer in the region.
To make
this point, he welcomed the Iranian foreign minister, Javad Zarif, as his first
diplomatic guest and stated his support for the nuclear deal that U.S.
President Donald Trump recently cancelled.
Irritation with this led the U.S. military to announce that it would be cancelling $300 million in aid to Pakistan.
It stated
that this was over what it called Islamabad’s failure to take action against
militant groups.
The State Department also has criticized Pakistan for failing to deal with terrorist networks operating on its soil, including the Haqqani network and the Afghan Taliban.
Pakistan
has been accused of providing covert support to the Haqqani network, a militant
group that focuses most of its activities on neighbouring Afghanistan.
Kabul has
complained for years that Pakistan allows it to operate unimpeded from its soil
across the border. The group is linked to the Afghan Taliban.
Trump in
January accused Pakistan of deceiving the U.S. and suspended nearly all of the
$1.3 billion in annual security aid given to Pakistan.
In May,
the two countries even placed travel restrictions on the diplomats based in
their respective capitals.
U.S.
Secretary of State Mike Pompeo made his first official trip to Pakistan on
Sept. 5, saying that he hoped to “reset the relationship” with the new
government after a period of sharp disagreements.
Pompeo
met with Khan and Pakistan’s army chief, Gen. Javed Qamar Bajwa. Washington is
anxious to enlist Pakistan’s help in its efforts to end the war in
Afghanistan.
Pakistani
commentators had been denouncing the United States as a hectoring bully that
seeks to force Pakistan to do its bidding and fails to appreciate its efforts
to fight Islamist terrorism.
One thing
is certain, though: the Pakistani military will continue to hold the levers of
power.
In the
words of Mohammed Ayoob, a South Asia expert at Michigan State University, they
will “keep Prime Minister Khan on a very short leash.” They always have the
last word.
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